Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-01 0.055621 0.065672 0.076929 0.090458 0.106265 0.124137 0.145869
2025-06-08 0.039144 0.051801 0.067570 0.088606 0.115883 0.150001 0.195866
2025-06-15 0.031060 0.044902 0.063623 0.090680 0.128657 0.179927 0.254246
2025-06-22 0.024824 0.038643 0.058659 0.089574 0.135902 0.202487 0.305135
2025-06-29 0.020093 0.033379 0.053811 0.087250 0.140286 0.220742 0.351519
2025-07-06 0.016439 0.028963 0.049296 0.084352 0.142850 0.235975 0.394641
2025-07-13 0.014464 0.026869 0.048012 0.086204 0.152887 0.263679 0.460479
2025-07-20 0.012659 0.024714 0.046212 0.086770 0.160626 0.288292 0.523955
2025-07-27 0.011188 0.022884 0.044653 0.087423 0.168422 0.313683 0.591562
2025-08-03 0.010037 0.021455 0.043575 0.088725 0.177426 0.342058 0.667626
2025-08-10 0.009224 0.020551 0.043336 0.091537 0.189535 0.377336 0.760369
2025-08-17 0.007920 0.018399 0.040296 0.088310 0.189340 0.389244 0.809711
2025-08-24 0.007050 0.017066 0.038783 0.088102 0.195407 0.414421 0.889030
2025-08-31 0.006212 0.015660 0.036911 0.086865 0.199180 0.435496 0.962758
2025-09-07 0.005733 0.015011 0.036604 0.089017 0.210504 0.473410 1.076011
2025-09-14 0.005100 0.013871 0.034998 0.087955 0.214496 0.496129 1.159195
2025-09-21 0.004478 0.012649 0.033006 0.085676 0.215352 0.512012 1.229028
2025-09-28 0.003909 0.011461 0.030912 0.082829 0.214451 0.523765 1.290752
2025-10-05 0.003641 0.011042 0.030693 0.084649 0.225126 0.563382 1.421776
2025-10-12 0.003341 0.010483 0.030024 0.085206 0.232703 0.596508 1.541055
2025-10-19 0.003077 0.009977 0.029421 0.085847 0.240577 0.631218 1.668095
2025-10-26 0.002862 0.009584 0.029069 0.087126 0.250293 0.671565 1.813709
2025-11-02 0.002718 0.009384 0.029237 0.089889 0.264375 0.724524 1.997333